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Core Inflation Tops Forecasts, Making an October Fed Rate Hike a Close Call

calendar_today October 14, 2026 person Chen Zhao domain redfin

Takeaway: A higher-than-expected inflation report puts the odds of a rate hike in two weeks at 50/50. Rates will give back some of last week’s improvements. Both overall and core inflation–which excludes food and energy prices–jumped in September more than expected.

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