TL;DR: The 2026 hurricane season forecasts combine the state of El Nino, sea surface temperature and vertical wind shear to estimate how many cyclones will form, not where. For the Pacific, Mexico’s SMN forecast 18 to 21 named storms and NOAA forecast 15 to 22. For the Atlantic, NOAA forecast 8 to 14, Colorado State University forecast 13 and Tropical Storm Risk forecast 12.
Hurricanes 2026: How the Season Forecasts Are Made | RainViewer Blog
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August 31, 2026
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