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How well do gas prices explain restaurant sales?

calendar_today June 25, 2026 person Riley Knowles domain bikky

Bikky analyzed 1,392 correlations between gas prices, unemployment, and restaurant performance across multiple brands and markets since 2021, finding that gas prices alone can’t explain performance in most markets. Unemployment showed a more consistent negative correlation (76% of strong correlations), but neither macro variable produced reliable directional signals, suggesting local factors like positioning and competitive dynamics matter more than broad economic indicators.

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